Sep
2
2006

The race for 5th spot: Tottenham, West Ham, Bolton, Portsmouth, Newcastle United and Everton

With the close of the transfer window things have changed for some clubs and because of that the ‘race’ for the 5th and 6th spots has changed as well.

Here’s a look at all the candidates (Tottenham, West Ham, Bolton, Portsmouth, Newcastle United and Everton):

Tottenham

The new pretenders, the team who should be in the Champions League or a weak side which folds every time a tough, fighting squad comes up against them (Bolton and Everton)?

A lot of the criticism against Tottenham is unfair. They have a technically gifted squad and in Robinson, King, Zokora, Jenas, Lennon, Keane and Berbatov they have the nucleus of a squad that will take them a long, long way.

Their litmus test will be the away game against Manchester United on the 9th. If Tottenham can put up with the the attacking talents of Giggs, Saha, Ronaldo and Carrick and also compete with United physically, they stand a chance of snatching a point.

Win, draw or lose, if Tottenham are haplessly outplayed (like United were against Chelsea on 29th April), they can forget about the champions league, and they will be relying on other

It’s not just the players you have but the fighting spirit they show. I’m sure that with King back and Zokora getting an extended run Tottenham will be a strong contender for the 5th spot but the team cannot keep relying on Keane and Lennon to provide them with inspiration. Berbatov is a finisher, he can’t do it. The drive must come from the midfield, and Zokora and Jenas will be crucial to Tottenham’s aspirations for 4th/5th place finish.

Soccerlens Prediction: Will get a good run in the UEFA Cup but will stutter in the Premiership. Tottenham’s chances for the 5th spot rest on the performances of their rivals.

5th spot.

Newcastle United

This is so easy, I don’t even know where to start.

When I said last month that I’d be surprised if Newcastle United managed to sign 2 strikers and a defender, I had figured that if the club would actually manage to do so, they would be a genuine force in the Premiership. But they lost their first new striker on debut to injury, the second striker is a remarkable young talent but very inexperienced, and the third is a left-back who left the club 18 months ago only to come back and sign on a freebie.

Oh, and there’s Siberski as well, but how he will help Newcastle I don’t know.

But let’s be fair - Newcastle have been very unlucky with injuries. If Owen had been fit, it would have allowed the management to focus on getting a top-quality defender. Like Ed said, the Newcastle squad is short on quality and in numbers.

Roeder will do his best to rally the troops but it’s an uphill struggle for Newcastle.

Soccerlens Prediction: Newcastle will struggle to stay in the top-10.

Not in the top 10.

West Ham United

West Ham’s odds for winning the UEFA Cup were cut from 60 to 1 to 18 to 1 after the double capture of Tevez and Mascherano. The farcical proceedings at Upton Park aside, a lot of people seem to think that the new signings will suddenly propel the club to a top 6 spot in the Premiership.

And ya know what? I find it hard to disagree. West Ham have a good squad but more importantly, they have a fighting squad. I don’t think that they will necessarily do better than Tottenham this season but two quality players like Tevez and Mascherano can really lift up a team and you have to argue that if these two were there against Liverpool, the scoreline could have been very different.

If West Ham can keep the two players free from injury, this season will be very interesting for West Ham fans and the neutrals alike.

Soccerlens Prediction: With Tevez and Mascherano, West Ham have a good shot at a top-6 spot, although they would be content with another top-10 finish.

7th spot.

Bolton Wanderers

Sam Allardyce might be a wierd fella but you can’t hold that against Kevin Nolan and co. They’ve added Nicolas Anelka to their excellent signing of Meite and are definitely the front-runners along with Tottenham for a top-6 spot.

Where Bolton will suffer is their inability to kill off teams. They play a tough game but they also lack the killer edge, and I doubt that it will be Anelka alone who can help them out here. Nolan will have to play a much greater role and Bolton will also have to become more attacking as a team. You can’t kick your way to the UEFA Cup, but if they can kick people AND score a few goals then they are definitely in with a chance.

Will Bolton remain unfashionable and get drowned by the glitz of Tottenham and West Ham (and even Portsmouth, who are probably the oldest side in the Premiership)?

Soccerlens prediction: With Bolton, no one really knows. They are as likely to play rubbish as they are to be good. Bottom line, if they get into scoring form a top-6 place is theirs for the taking, otherwise another mid-table scrap is in the offing.

surprise 6th place and in Europe

Portsmouth

Like Charlton, Portsmouth have signed 10 players but the difference is that Redknapp has his team playing really, really well. Andy Cole, Sol Campbell, Kanu and David James will provide much needed experience and quality to the side but they also bring in the sort of professionalism necessary for a top-10 finish. Manuel Fernandes will give them strength in the midfield and on paper, Portsmouth have a talented squad ready for a big splash in the Premiership.

I expect Portsmouth to spend again in January.

Despite 7 points from 3 games, Portsmouth aren’t playing particularly well. Middlesbrough collapsed against them and such things will rarely happen in the Premiership. The team also lack pace in the defence and the top teams will ruthlessly exploit that.

Soccerlens prediction: Portsmouth should be content with a top-10 finish.

8th spot and a good cup run

Everton

Everton are everyone’s favourites for a good finish this year, and a lot of that has to do with Neville’s form - and of course, Andrew Johnson’s signing :) Mind you, they had a horrible time last season and this year they haven’t done much in the transfer window except get Howard and Johnson, so I really don’t understand why everyone is tipping them for a good run in the Premiership.

Everton’s 10-man heroics against Tottenham apart, this is an average team with a good striker thrown in. Moyes is a good manager but he doesn’t have a top-notch squad on his hands. To his credit though, he has turned Everton into a fighting team and they will need that fighting spirit when they take on the likes of Bolton and West Ham and Newcastle for their mid-table scraps.

Soccerlens prediction: Andy Johnson can’t help them win a UEFA Cup spot, but considering that this team was 4th just two years ago (albeit because Liverpool sucked that season) you wouldn’t bet against Everton getting in the top-10. Top-6? that’s pushing it.

9th or 10, but that’s as far as they can go.


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Discussion - 19 Responses

  1. Spurs should be going for 3rd or 4th, surely Henry apart we have a better squad than Arsenal.

  2. Can’t remember Pompey being a founder member of the Football League!

  3. I forgot to add Aston Villa to this list. They’ve only got Petrov in but O’Neill should make a big difference to the team, and with Lerner taking over Villa will definitely strengthen over January.
  4. Everton got 4th because Liverpool “sucked”?

    ey?

    check the points total when Everton finished 4th…. with the points they aquired, they would have finished 4th every season since the Premiership began.

  5. “Mind you, they had a horrible time last season and this year they haven’t done much in the transfer window except get Howard and Johnson, so I really don’t understand why everyone is tipping them for a good run in the Premiership.”

    What about Lescott then? Forgot about him? You are ridiculous.

    / Sven

  6. Stuart, you must be insane! BETTER SQUAD? weve just signed Rosicky, Baptista and William Gallas, we might have lost some old gunners in the process but we still have, by far a more superior squad to Tottenham.

  7. September 2, 2006jason wilkie

    howard
    hibbert
    yobo
    lescott
    valente
    arteta
    cahill
    neville
    osman
    johnson
    mcfadden
    beattie……..if we`d have won a couple more games at the start of last season, we would have been back in europe.eat your hat you bellend.

  8. I and every other geordie will be laughing at you come the end of the season

  9. Danny - I’m sure you remember that season, where Liverpool were dropping points left and right. I don’t think you should take the last two seasons as ‘part of the average’ - United’s points total in both seasons would have won us titles, but we were 3rd n 2nd. Go figure.

    Sven - I hope Lescott will be as good as you guys think he is :)

    Jason - you do realise that other teams have good players, don’t you?

    Noel - some win, some lose. These teams (and Aston Villa) will all be in the mix this season, anyone could rise to the top (not Newcastle though :P)

  10. If Spurs get any better than top 10 finish I’ll eat my hat!

  11. September 2, 2006Muhammad Amin

    Hmm… Spurs will stuggle this season:

    1. Thier spine has been affected. Zakora still needs to prove he can replace Carrick. Robinson has been dodgy, not yet impressed by Berbatov.

    2. No left winger.

    3. Jol sven-ism on Jenas (apart from his goals, Spursplays with 10 men with him in the team)

    4. No back-up to King.

    MY VERDCIT: 8/9th

    Newcastle will stugle defensively, but they are an attacking force with Duff and Martins

    MY VERDCIT: 7th

    Everton, to me is a very under-rated team. They have excellent midfielders in Cahill, Arteta and Osman, and great strikers in Johnson Beattie and McFadden. They also have a strong back 5. Howard, a reliable keeper behind a 10 million centreback partnership with two attacking fullbacks, Valente and Neville.

    MY VERDICT: 5th

    Portsmouth, a good squad with an excelletn manager.

    MY VERDICT: 6th.

  12. What an absolute load of tosh! Pompey aren’t playing well you say?
    Is your knowledge of pompey this season, limited to the 4 minutes edited match of the day highlights of the opening day win over blackburn?
    The facts are..pompey could have beaten blackburn by 6 or 7 goals, they played some sensational stuff.
    Boro away, 4-0 could have been 6-0.
    I suggest you engage your brain before commenting about a team who have scored 7 goals, conceded none, and saying their not playing well.

  13. Is every football journalist a spurs supporter?

  14. Your predictions have a little bit of a London shade, you base your standings on the names in the squads, have you heard of S.Parker, Emre, Solano, Duff, Martins, Milner, N’Zongbia, Moore, Taylor, Carr, Given, not to mentioned Dier and Owen, I wonder where you would have placed spares if they were playing for them?

  15. Muhammad Amin - to pick up on youre points

    1.carrick is just 1 player, plus he wasnt that great anyway last year, his only asset was his set pieces. Whats dodgy about Robbinson, he is a quality keeper who has proved him self at spurs and as englands number 1 for 2 years.

    2. We diddnt have a left winger last year, but now we have mallbronke, ziegler and taino who can comfortably play there.

    3.Jenas scored 8 league goals last year. how about you ‘take away the goals’ from van nistleroy, how good will he be then!

    4. we have gardner, davenport, dervitte and huddlestone who is back up to king.

  16. Spurs will be looking at finishing higher than most people think,look for Liverpool to strugle midseason,Man u great start but they are not built endure this tough seaon a head,Arsenal will come on strong it may be to late this year,Chelsea have to come together soon or they could find them selfs out of the CL and top two.

  17. tottenham 6th
    sorry dan but gardner, davenport, dervitte and huddlestone are not a patch on king, huddlestone maybe one day.
    if you had got downing i think you’d be looking at champions league next season.
    Robinson will be a great keeper but he is young and very few keepers are good till late 20’s at least.
    believe it or not 6th is still pretty good spurs fans

    west ham 5th
    before they borrowed/signed tevez and Mascherano i felt they would do well again this season and the fact reo coker stayed can only be good.
    will they be the next chelsea or a feeder club for chelsea though thats the question, although unlike chelsea they can fill a stadium

  18. Muhammad Amin..i rate Aston villa, west Ham, Spurs , Bolton and Portsmouth then Everton..lets see!

  19. Despite being a lifelong spurs fan, i don’t see them finishing in the top 5. Even top 10 seems to be a struggle for them at the moment when they couldn’t beat 10 man everton AT HOME. Not judging them on that one game, but they’ve failed to impress so far this season. Lot of hard work to be done to make something of the season. I expect them to get dumped from UEFA cup pretty early as well. Hope they prove me wrong.

    Of the teams mentioned above, I give newcastle no chance of a top 10 finish, Portsmouth may well turn out to be the dark horses of the current campaign. Everton will live up to their nickname of Neverton and fade away into 12/13th soon enuff. West ham have a decent team and i see them doing well.

    Ive never liked bolton, mostly coz of spurs’ record against them but i have to respect the team - top chance in my book of a top 10 finish.

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