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Scoring Stats – The European clubs most reliant on one player

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In part one of our examination into European Scoring Stat leaders, we examined some of the differences between the four major European football leagues. What that revealed was an Italian and German propensity to use “spearheads”, where one player contributed to (goal or assist) nearly forty percent of a team’s goals. In Spain, this percentage was reduced somewhat, and in England, reduced again – and artificially inflated by Carlos Tevez’s remarkable scoring record at Manchester City.

To briefly run over a couple of definitions, we measure a player’s influence via “scoring stats”, or the player with the highest total number of goals + assists. The player with the highest number of scoring stats is dubbed the “team leader”. See Part 1 for more details on terminology.

Individual Scoring Stat Leaders across Europe

We can see from the table below that there are nine players in Europe who directly contribute to half (or more) of their teams’ goals; four from Serie A, two from the Bundesliga and La Liga and Manchester City’s Carlos Tevez. The next highest Premiership player after Tevez is Sunderland’s Asamoah Gyan, who ranked twenty-first, directly contributing to 39.39% of all Mackem goals.

Player Club League League Pos. Goals Assists % Contribution
Marco Di Vaio Bologna Serie A 11 19 2 63.64
Edinson Cavani

Napoli

Serie A 2 25 4 63.04
Theofanis Gekas Frankfurt Bundesliga 13 16 0 59.26
Antonio Di Natale Udinese Serie A 4 25 7 57.14
Papiss Demba Cisse Freiburg Bundesliga 8 19 0 55.88
Lionel Messi Barcelona La Liga 1 27 16 52.44
Cristiano Ronaldo Real Madrid La Liga 2 27 8 50.72
Carlos Tevez Man City Premiership 3 19 6 50
Sergio Pellissier Chievo Serie A 13 10 5 50
Zlatan Ibrahimovic AC Milan Serie A 1 14 11 49.02
Didier Ya Konan Hannover Bundesliga 4 12 6 46.15
Raul Schalke 04 Bundesliga 11 12 2 45.16
Samuel Eto’o Inter Milan Serie A 3 19 6 44.64
Lukas Podolski Koln Bundesliga 10 12 4 43.24
Diego Wolfsburg Bundesliga 16 6 7 41.94
Giuseppe Rossi Villarreal La Liga 4 15 5 41.67
Andrea Caracciolo Brescia Serie A 19 9 1 41.67
Gerald Asamoah St Pauli Bundesliga 17 6 6 41.38
Gabi Zaragoza La Liga 17 6 6 41.38
Alberto Gilardino Fiorentina Serie A 9 11 3 40

Figures and League Position are valid to Tuesday morning April 5th.  Balanced Sports has the full list of contributions by team leaders across the four major leagues.

This confirms suspicions that Italian and German tactics (or injury lists) value a spearhead more than their Spanish or English cousins. What’s interesting is that, Zlatan Ibrahimovic aside, most of the Serie A contributors tend to be finishers, rather than creators. The same can be said of Germany – excepting Gerald Asamoah and Diego who are both midfielders for relegation-threatened clubs, and if each team had a fully-functioning centre-forward may not make this list. Germany in fact seems to have more designated shooters – Gekas and Cisse especially – who have yet to rack up an assist this term.

Which counts more, goals or assists?

All four Spanish-based Top 20 entrants are creators as well as scorers, leading us to the conclusion that Spain tends to value not so much a spearhead as a trequartista, someone given a free hand to lead the attack. Looking at the names Messi, Ronaldo and Rossi this rings true but is coloured by the fact that each is the best set piece taker for their club. Do their inflated assist numbers reflect their exquisite talents or a league-wide trend?

Of all the scoring stat leaders, we compiled their total numbers of goals and assists into a table to express what percentage of their total scoring stats were made up of goals.

League Goals Assists Percentage Goals
Premiership 174 105 62.37
La Liga 210 89 70.23
Serie A 204 86

70.34

Bundesliga 193 63 75.39

Percentage goals = the percentage of goals in a team leader’s total scoring stats.

This leads us to the fact that the Bundesliga values scorers more heavily than their Southern or Western counterparts. This could come down to a variety of factors – tactics, injuries and style chief among them. This table offers more proof the English game has a wider variety of scorers and creators as their goals-per-game average remains in excess of all the three other major leagues.  Also, it must be remembered that assists can only make up a maximum of 50% of any scoring stat analysis (ie. If every goal is assisted, then 50% of the Scoring Stats will be assists.  Since not every goal is assisted, this total will always be <50%).  This table also confirms any remaining suspicions as to the roots of Roberto Mancini’s Manchester City gameplan – pulled straight from Serie A. 70% of Carlos Tevez’s scoring stats are goals, exactly what a team leader typically scores in Italy.

When it comes to avoiding relegation, the percentage contribution by a Team Leader wasn’t as significant: though six of the ten teams are in serious danger of the drop, this can be attributed more to their lack of total goals than to the decreased contributions by team leaders. An expected result is the spread of leagues here: three La Liga and EPL clubs, and two each from Serie A and the Bundesliga. There’s also a greater mix of positions here – from out-and-out centre-forwards to midfielders,

Player Club League League Pos. Goals Assists % Contribution
Martin Harnik Stuttgart Bundesliga 15 8 1 19.57
Markus Rosenberg Racing La Liga 11 6 0 20
Carlos Aranda Osasuna La Liga 12 4 4 22.22
Frederic Piquionne West Ham Premiership 18 6 3 23.68
Maxi Lopez Catania Serie A 13 6 0 24
Gianpaolo Pazzini Sampdoria Serie A 16 6 0 24
Morten Gamst Pedersen Blackburn Premiership 14 4 6 25.64
Sejad Salihovic Hoffenheim Bundesliga 8 5 6 26.19
Nikola Zigic Birmingham Premiership 15 5 3 26.67
Leonardo Ulloa Almeria La Liga 20 7 1 26.67

We can see from these analyses that the biggest difference between team leaders aren’t between teams in an individual league, but across leagues. The statistical outliers tend to be those who either play in a different style (ie. Carlos Tevez) or those who are the shining light for the entire league (your Messis and Ronaldos). Roberto Mancini has come in for much criticism for the staid manner in which his City team has played. Unfair, perhaps, because he’s only doing exactly the same as his countrymen.

The Complete List of Scoring Stat leaders by team across Europe, is available at Balanced SportsScoring Stat Leaders page.

For more analysis and opinion, shoot across to Matthew Wood‘s blog, Balanced Sports.

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Comments (4)

  1. I don’t know why but i think that Cavanni it’s better than Di Vaio. 1: Because he scored 25 and Di Vaio just 19. He have 4 assists when Di Vaio have only 2 assists. And this list can be much longer.

  2. Another great article. The Mancini/Tevez point is particularly interesting. Might this be at least part of the reason why players like Dzeko, Santa Cruz, Jo and Adebayor have failed to make an impact?

  3. Where did you get your statistics from? I only ask because according to the Premier League official stats, as of 5th April the highest contributor for Manchester United would have been Nani, with 9 goals and 16 assists, giving him 36.76%, higher than Berbatov. Makes me wonder about the rest of the stats?

    • see @castrolfootball’s twitter timeline where they answer this exact question.

      Basic point is that Castrol Football (where these rankings are from) count assists differently from Premier League. Premier League counts ‘penalties won’ as assists, which Castrol Football doesn’t.