Sky Sports are screening both Manchester games on the final day of the season, and it’s City (on SS1) who are firmly in the driving seat and long odds-on to clinch their first title in 44 years.
Manchester City v QPR
Roberto Mancini’s men sit on top of the pile with a vastly superior goal difference and a win at home to QPR and the title is theirs regardless of what United to at Sunderland.
They are 1.14 shots to do so, so as far as the bookies concerned it looks all over.
It’s easy to see why they think that, as their home record is superb.
The Citizens have won 17, drawn 1 and lost none on their own patch all season, and have the best defence and joint-best attack in the league to boot as far as the stats are concerned.
However in QPR they face a side finding for survival and managed by one mark Hughes.
Hughes knows that a point from this will ensure the R’s stay in the top flight, and having been regarded as a legend in his day’s as a striker with United he will certainly be keen to do them a favour.
The problem is that QPR have gained just 2 draws from their last 11 games on the road
However, with all the games kicking off at 3pm an early goal by United could make things very tense for the City players and If that does happen they could well have a right battle on their hands.
Hughes is sure to set his stall out to get the point that is required, and it will be interesting to see how the City players respond to the pressure piled on them by expectant fans.
In all likelihood they will respond well and deliver the goods, but at 1.14 I think they are plenty short enough and am prepared to risk a small wager on the draw at a 9.5 with Boylesports.
If it is a draw then there are unlikely to be many goals, and we are going to get some very big prices in the correct score market.
0-0 is a 29 chance with Boylesports while 1-1 is a 17 shot with bet365, Try small split stakes on both – unless you are a die-hard City fan of course!
Sunderland v Manchester United
United feature on Sky Sports 2, and are 1.44 to beat the Black Cats and keep their slim hopes of retaining the title alive.
The Red Devils will be hoping that history doesn’t repeat itself as last time their arch rivals won won the title was back in 1968 they blew their chance by losing to none other than….Sunderland.
So if they are to steal the title they must at least do their part of the job better than way back then.
What is vital is that they get an early goal and put the pressure on their arch rivals.
If they can take the lead then news will travel fast to the Etihad that could prove decisive as it will pile the pressure on Mancini’s men.
As far as the stats are concerned, everything is in United’s favour.
Sir Alex’s side have won 14 and lost none of their last 19 Premier League games against Sunderland, and Martin O’Neill’s side have also failed to score in eight of their last 10 league games between the two sides.
United have also won on the final day in eight of the last nine seasons, whereas their opponents win in 2010/11 was their first in 10 seasons.
That suggest that United should have little difficulty doing the business, especially when you throw in the fact that Sunderland haven’t won in their last seven games.
So given that united ideally need to be quick out of the blocks, I think they look a decent put at 2.1 with Paddy Power in the HT/FT market.
Wayne Rooney needs just two more goals to reach for the club, but at 3.75 with the likes of bet365, Betfred and Paddy Power he looks plenty short enough to bag the opener and Hernandez makes more appeal at the 6 on offer with bet365.
United to win 2-0 is my idea of the outcome, and that is a 7.5 shot – also with bet365.