Premier League betting: Can Reading, West Ham, Fulham and Everton cause upsets?
West Ham v Chelsea
The big game on Saturday sees Chelsea travel to Upton Park to take on West Ham (12.45pm KO, Live on Sky Sports 2, and the visitors look worthy 1.91 shots with bet365 and Paddy Power to beat their London rivals.
The stats are certainly good as far as the Blues are concerned as they have won 10 and lost none of the last 12 Premier League meetings with the Hammers.
The home side have also won just one of their last five league home matches (W1 D3 L1), so everything looks good at first glance for a Chelsea victory.
However things haven’t gone quiet to plan since Rafa Benitez took over, and two 0-0 draws have done little to change the opinion of the vast majority of fans that he is nothing but a negative appointment.
The Spaniard claims to know the key to getting the best out of Fernando Torres, and this could be the game to see if that is right after he once again put in a poor performance against Fulham in midweek.
Torres has scored six goals in six league appearances against West Ham – more than against any other opponent in the competition.
So if Benitez does have the key to him getting back on the goals trail he could be a bit of value at 6.5 with bet365 andBoylesports to score the opener.
He can also be backed at 2.63 with Boylesports with to net anytime, and that looks a fair price given his record against West Ham.
However in his current form he cannot be backed with any confidence, and I prefer to side with Frank Lampard who is 9.5 with bet365 to bag the first and 3.6 with the same firm to get on the scoresheet during the 90 minutes.
Manchester City v Everton
Title holders Manchester City look a solid bet at 1.53 with bet365 and Betfred to beat Everton at the Etihad.
It was December 2010 when they last lost a Premier League game at home – and that came against the Toffees.
However in the two years since, Roberto Mancini’s men have built up a 36-match unbeaten run which has seen them emerge victorious on 33 occasions.
That suggest that they are worthy odds-on shot to win this, especially as Everton have won just three of their last 17 Premier League away games (W3 D10 L4) and are are without their star man Leighton Baines.
Sergio Aguero ,who has now scored 20 goals in 22 league games at home since joining City, makes plenty of appeal at 5 with bet365 to score the opener and 2.2 with Boylesports in the anytime scorer market.
Another interesting stat is that Everton have not managed to keep a clean sheet since mid-September, but have managed to score in their last 12 games.
That suggest that City to win 2-1 or 3-1 are worth concentrating on in the correct score market.
Reading v Manchester United
It’s an away trip to Reading for Manchester United, and everything suggests that they are the banker bet of the weekend at 1.44 with Boylesports to come away with all three points.
Reading have won just once on their return to the top flight and, though that came in their last home game against Everton, they have been quick to revert to their old ways and come into this after back-to-back defeats against Wigan and Aston Villa.
The stats also reveal that in the 16 times the two side have met in all competitions, Reading have won just once and lost eight times against United - with their only victory coming in 1927!
Throw in the fact that table-topping United are also have the best away form in the league with five wins from seven and you can see why it should really be a case of how many they win by.
So who is going to fire them to victory?
Well, in the first goalscorer market it looks a case of take your pick from Robin van Persie and Wayne Rooney.
The former is a top priced 4.33 with bet365, while Rooney can be backed at 5 with Paddy Power. If forced to choose my money would be on the Dutchman.
United to win 2-0 or 3-0 is my idea of the outcome, and those scorelines are chalked up at 8 and 11 with Boylesports.
Fulham v Tottenham
Spurs look cracking value at a top priced 2.5 with bet365 and Boylesports to beat Fulham at Craven Cottage.
The stats are certainly good as far as the Lilywhites are concerned as Fulham have won none of their last seven premier League games against them.
They have lost the last five and have have scored only two goals in the that period and one of those was an own goal by Younes Kaboul.
Andres Villas-Boas side also come into the game in good form after back-to-back home wins against West Ham and Liverpool, and face a side who by stark contrast have won just one of the last four games on their own patch.
Jermaine Defoe looks the obvious one in the first goalscorer market at 6.5 with Paddy Power.
Also, given that Fulham have scored in every home league game and Spurs have done the same on their travels, both sides to score looks a rock solid punt for odds-on backers at 1.53 with Betfred.
I am going to take Spurs to edge this 2-1, and that scoreline is a best priced 10 with bet365.