Comments on: Liverpool 91%, Manchester United 67%, Chelsea and Arsenal 58% sure of progressing to last eight of Champions League

By: sergio camara

sergio camara — Fri, 13 Mar 2009 17:08:33 +0000

i tink barca are gonna win everything this year

By: Ahmed Bilal

Ahmed Bilal — Tue, 10 Mar 2009 17:34:39 +0000

Leading 1-0 from the first leg played at home. For those leading 1-0 from the first leg played away, all of them have progressed.

By: alfredo pizarro

alfredo pizarro — Tue, 10 Mar 2009 17:33:53 +0000

man xcept bayern,i dont tink any other club stands a clear chance of semis advancemen,incuding my barca.Notwithstanding,arsenal is an away specialist,roma may not find there roots.If care is not taken,Lpool may walk alone 2nite.

By: Boon

Boon — Tue, 10 Mar 2009 14:48:25 +0000

I see… so the percentages are based on what’s happened in the past… so for example Chelsea getting 58%, does that mean in the past the team that is leading 1-0 from the first leg, only 58% of them have progressed?

I think what would be better is to use the bookies or betfair odds on the team to qualify from the tie, as the market usually is quite spot on.

By: Xamista

Xamista — Tue, 10 Mar 2009 11:06:53 +0000

thats not a prediction neither someones choice… that is based on all games and based on the results of the first leg, the % of clubs that go through next round… thats why sporting is 0%, cause till now no one came back from 0-5… (it doesnt mean its impossible!) it doesnt have to do with team A or team B, but with the results in 1st leg. this is just facts, and a cool article it is
btw, if this was based on the club strenghs,etc… porto would have 200% chance of going to next round! hehehe
PS: hulk, best player ever!!!

By: tom.cool chelsea fan

tom.cool chelsea fan — Tue, 10 Mar 2009 09:07:48 +0000

i completely disagree with the liverpool and man utd prediction.. italian and spanish clubs can hit an impact wherever they are and that includes in england.. english football is not ultimate and man utd just drew 0-0 at san siro.. a 1-1 draw in old trafford will see the champions kicked out of the title race and i can see that as a chance.. as for liverpool, they are in a dumpling now and being wrapped up by midsboro recently, they sure wanna win but if Real can show them wat the spanish galacticos are named off, liverpool will see a tough battle at anfield i assure u.. really.. seeing is believing..

By: Ruud van Nistelrooy

Ruud van Nistelrooy — Tue, 10 Mar 2009 01:50:34 +0000

9% for Madrid? right…

By: Gonzalo @ All In White

Gonzalo @ All In White — Mon, 09 Mar 2009 16:27:08 +0000

Thanks Ricardo – I guess I should have read the article a little more carefully, but it was that “mathematically assured” and the 0% chance of winning for Sporting that switched on my pedantic gene.

Records are made to be broken, however…

By: Ricardo

Ricardo — Mon, 09 Mar 2009 16:08:40 +0000

It appears to be based on prior games. The article states that of the 51 times an away team has won the first leg, none have seen a turnaround of fortunes in the second tie. Thus, history is the mathematical basis.

By: Gonzalo @ All In White

Gonzalo @ All In White — Mon, 09 Mar 2009 15:51:49 +0000

Can you explain the “mathematical” basis for the above odds? I mean, I know there’s not a huge chance of Sporting beating Bayern Munich 6-0, but is it really mathematically ZERO?